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CurrencyUK
Mixed signals in the eurozone
by alex
3 Feb 2012 at 7:20am
Hopes of an imminent agreement between Greece and its private bondholders were dashed on Thursday due to the opposition of some of the Greek political leaders towards additional spending cuts demanded by the lenders as well as a disagreement between the IMF and Germany on the involvement of the ECB in the bond swap.
Greece’s creditors [...]
GBP/USD at highest level since November
by alex
2 Feb 2012 at 7:09am
A rise in global manufacturing PMIs has helped shore up investor sentiment overnight and we enter a world in which risk looks to be very much ?on? again. But gains could be limited by reports that the IMF and Germany have yet to reach agreement over the size of the Greek haircut. While the Greek [...]
Despite the approved ESM the Euro is still under pressure
by alex
31 Jan 2012 at 7:19am
EU leaders managed to agree to set up the ?500 billion European Stability Mechanism (ESM) fund overnight while pushing through the fiscal compact (despite the UK and the Czech Republic not ratifying the agreement), but there is still little sign of progress on the second Greek bailout. While finance ministers are supposed to have agreed [...]
The Euro is easing against GBP and USD
by alex
30 Jan 2012 at 5:58am
The European leaders meet yet again today to try and agree on the new fiscal compact agreement and to set up the new ?500 billion European Support Mechanism. We?ll no doubt see European leaders insisting on further commitments from the Greek government in exchange for a another bailout package. Rumours over the weekend suggest that [...]
Portugal weakens the Euro
by alex
27 Jan 2012 at 7:58am
This morning the Euro has fallen against the Pound as the news from the Portuguese bond market was released. The 10-year bond yield has hit a new high at 15.25%, with investors growing their concerns on a possible contagion. Many analysts believe Portugal will need a second bailout. Meanwhile, the markets expects to hear from [...]
Market Update
by alex
26 Jan 2012 at 2:47am
Equity markets are broadly higher this morning with investors seeming taking some comfort from the Fed?s decision to hold interest rates at ?exceptionally low levels? until the end of 2014 rather than mid-2013. Although interest rates are now on hold for longer, the decision looks to have slightly pushed back expectations of further Quantitative Easing.
The dollar [...]
Poor start to the day for GBP
by alex
25 Jan 2012 at 6:31am
Big events of the day are the release of the Bank of England (BoE) minutes from their last rate decision meeting, which have already been released. UK GDP figures for Q4 2011 and the US interest rate decision this evening (UK time).
Whilst there are likely to be no surprises with the US certain to keep [...]
The EURO is slightly recovering
by alex
24 Jan 2012 at 5:15am
GBP/EUR has regained some ground after the increment to £10.8bn in the UK?s Public Sector net Borrowing in December, coming in lower than expectations (£12.2bn). The UK budget deficit in December rose to £13.7bn against a forecasted £14.9bn. In the April-December period the deficit was also lower than expected, rising to £103.3bn vs. £114.6bn.
In a [...]
No great surprise
by alex
17 Jan 2012 at 8:01am
Having European markets open on a firmer footing after a positive Asian session following slightly stronger than expected Chinese GDP, retail sales and industrial production data. GDP expanded by 2% quarter-on-quarter and 8.9% year-on-year against consensus annual forecasts of 8.7%. This was the slowest pace of growth in over two years. Both exports and imports [...]
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